I hosted a live session today to walk through the latest ICE arrest data released by the Deportation Data Project out of Berkeley published earlier today.
In this episode, I break down what we’re seeing in the new numbers for May and June: a surge in arrests in late May followed by a surprising drop toward the end of June—even with the Trump administration setting a 3,000-arrest-per-day quota that ICE hasn’t come close to meeting.
But the real headline here is that, for the first time this year, the majority of people being arrested by ICE have no criminal history. That’s a major shift. Back in January, only 20 percent of ICE arrests were people with no convictions. In June that number jumped to 45 percent.
In this live event, now more like a podcast, I walk through what that means, how ICE classifies arrests, and what the political implications might be—especially as new funding rolls out. If you’re interested in immigration enforcement and want to get past the headlines, this one’s for you.
Give it a listen, check out the full post for graphs and data validation tips, and feel free to share with folks who might appreciate a more grounded take on all this.
Thanks for tuning in.
Read the full write-up here:
ICE Arrest Surge in May and June Driven by Immigrants with No Criminal History
This is Part 3 of a multi-part series on ICE ERO administrative arrest data made public by the Deportation Data Project. If you haven’t yet, you may want to read Part 1 or listen to my Substack Live explanation, as well as Part 2 before reading Part 3.
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